La consultora Gartner estima que el gasto global de TI en 2018 aumentará en un 6,2%, casi dos puntos más de lo que estimó en enero. Según los analistas, se prevé que el gasto mundial ascienda a 3,7 billones de dólares.
John-David Lovelock, vicepresidente de investigación de Gartner, señaló que, aunque se pronostica que el gasto global de TI crecerá un 6,2% este año, el dólar estadounidense en baja ha causado viento en contra de la moneda, que es la razón principal de este fuerte crecimiento.
«Esta es la tasa de crecimiento anual más alta que Gartner ha pronosticado desde 2007 y sería un signo de un nuevo ciclo de crecimiento de TI. Sin embargo, el gasto en TI en todo el mundo está creciendo a los niveles esperados y está en línea con el crecimiento económico mundial esperado. Durante 2018 y 2019, se espera que el dólar estadounidense tenga una tendencia más fuerte mientras soporta una tremenda volatilidad debido al entorno político incierto, la renegociación del Tratado de Libre Comercio de América del Norte y el potencial de guerras comerciales».
Se espera que el gasto en software empresarial experimentará un mayor crecimiento en 2018 con un aumento del 11,1%. Según los analistas, se espera que el gasto en software de aplicaciones continúe aumentando hasta 2019, y el software de infraestructura también continuará creciendo, reforzado por iniciativas de modernización.
También se estima que el gasto mundial en sistemas de centros de datos crezca un 3,7% en 2018, una cifra inferior al crecimiento del 6,3% en 2017. Las perspectivas a largo plazo siguen presentando desafíos, en particular para el segmento de almacenamiento. La fortaleza al final de 2017 se debió principalmente a la escasez de componentes de memoria, y los precios han aumentado a un ritmo mayor de lo esperado. Mientras que anteriormente, se esperaba que la escasez de componentes disminuyera en 2018, ahora se espera que la escasez continúe durante todo el año y no se espera que la oferta disminuya hasta el final del año.
El gasto mundial para dispositivos PC, tabletas y teléfonos móviles también crecerá en 2018, llegando a 706 mil millones de dólares, un aumento del 6.6% desde 2017. «El mercado de dispositivos continúa viendo una doble dinámica. Algunos usuarios están frenando la compra, y aquellos que están comprando lo hacen, en promedio, a precios más altos «, señaló Lovelock. «Como resultado, el gasto del usuario final aumentará más rápido que las unidades hasta el 2022. Sin embargo, se espera que el gasto total de los usuarios finales y las unidades sean menores en comparación con las previsiones anteriores, ya que la demanda de dispositivos ultramóviles premium, dispositivos móviles ultramóviles y teléfonos básicos se espera que sea lento».
Fuente: www.computerworld.es
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