Estos días se celebra en Barcelona el Gartner IT Symposium/Xpo, cumbre de la consultora para la región de EMEA en la que se han desglosado los datos de gasto en TI para la región para los próximos dos años. Si para este 2019 la firma de análisis prevé que las ventas caigan un 3,2%, hasta los 772.156 millones de dólares, en 2020 se invertirá el comportamiento tras tres años consecutivos de descensos. Crecerán un 3,4%, hasta los 798.246 millones de dólares.
En la recuperación del gasto global se aprecian diferencias por áreas de negocio. Por un lado, la parte de servicios TI y de software empresarial mejora notablemente, pasando de aumentar las partidas, respectivamente, de un 0,4% a un 5,3% y de un 3,4% a un 9,2%. En concreto, por la parte de servicios TI es por la que más dinero se prevé que se mueva: 282.885 millones de dólares en 2019, que en 2020 serán 297.985 millones. En software empresarial, la mejora en la velocidad de crecimiento permitirá pasar de 109.351 millones de dólares a 119.377 millones.
Por otro lado, hay varios sectores que se estima que reducirán su inversión en 2019 pero que en 2020 moderen esta caída o, directamente, pasen a crecer. Este último es el caso de la parte de servicios de comunicación, la segunda por volumen de negocio. Si en 2019 Gartner calcula que perderá un 6,3%, entrando por aquí 221.523 millones de dólares, para 2020 esta cantidad aumentará hasta los 223.102 millones, lo que supone una ligera recuperación del 0,7%. También prevé la firma que el negocio de sistemas de centros de datos, el más pequeño, invierta su tendencia: los cálculos de la consultora hablan de que pasa de perder un 3,8% en 2019, con 42.052 millones facturados, a ingresarse por aquí 42.949 millones, un 2,1% más.
De hecho, para 2020 solo se anticipa que haya un sector que reduzca sus ventas. Es el de dispositivos y, pese al porcentaje en negativo, modera notablemente las pérdidas al pasar de ingresar un 10,7% menos en 2019 a caer el 1,3%. Así, este año se calcula que se cerrará en los 116.346 millones de dólares, mientras que en el próximo año lo hará en los 114.833 millones.
En este cambio general del comportamiento influyen principalmente dos factores, según explica John Lovelock, vicepresidente de investigación de Gartner. «Este año, las caídas del euro y la libra esterlina frente al dólar estadounidense, debidas al menos en parte debido a las preocupaciones sobre el Brexit, redujeron parte del gasto en TI y causaron un aumento en los precios locales del hardware tecnológico. Sin embargo, 2020 será un año de recuperación ya que se espera que se resuelva el Brexit y se alivie la presión sobre los tipos de cambio».
Fuente: https://www.ciospain.es/
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